Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.005874 0.006216 0.006572 0.006969 0.007402 0.007859 0.008382
2026-01-11 0.005259 0.005751 0.006286 0.006915 0.007637 0.008448 0.009431
2026-01-18 0.004896 0.005470 0.006116 0.006901 0.007839 0.008935 0.010329
2026-01-25 0.004594 0.005219 0.005939 0.006838 0.007946 0.009285 0.011056
2026-02-01 0.004458 0.005142 0.005947 0.006981 0.008291 0.009929 0.012182
2026-02-08 0.004260 0.004974 0.005830 0.006950 0.008406 0.010278 0.012939
2026-02-15 0.004101 0.004840 0.005741 0.006944 0.008543 0.010652 0.013750
2026-02-22 0.003917 0.004665 0.005589 0.006842 0.008539 0.010830 0.014288
2026-03-01 0.003757 0.004510 0.005454 0.006751 0.008540 0.011005 0.014828
2026-03-08 0.003646 0.004414 0.005387 0.006745 0.008652 0.011338 0.015625
2026-03-15 0.003463 0.004215 0.005177 0.006532 0.008459 0.011216 0.015703
2026-03-22 0.003385 0.004151 0.005141 0.006556 0.008603 0.011592 0.016595
2026-03-29 0.003331 0.004116 0.005144 0.006635 0.008831 0.012115 0.017782
2026-04-05 0.003233 0.004020 0.005059 0.006584 0.008865 0.012338 0.018487
2026-04-12 0.003154 0.003947 0.005003 0.006571 0.008952 0.012649 0.019370
2026-04-19 0.003066 0.003856 0.004919 0.006512 0.008964 0.012837 0.020046
2026-04-26 0.003046 0.003859 0.004964 0.006646 0.009280 0.013543 0.021754
2026-05-03 0.002975 0.003789 0.004904 0.006617 0.009337 0.013815 0.022662
2026-05-10 0.002916 0.003732 0.004860 0.006612 0.009429 0.014153 0.023735
2026-05-17 0.002833 0.003640 0.004762 0.006516 0.009368 0.014216 0.024252
2026-05-24 0.002757 0.003555 0.004672 0.006431 0.009320 0.014297 0.024812
2026-05-31 0.002708 0.003508 0.004634 0.006426 0.009403 0.014621 0.025931
2026-06-07 0.002606 0.003382 0.004477 0.006227 0.009149 0.014305 0.025603